Category: Free Tips Predictions

Free Tips Predictions

Free Tips Predictions

BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE

BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE

BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE

DAILY FREE TIPS


Date: 05.10.2022     Day: Wednesday

Leaguec: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Real Madrid  vs  Shakhtar Donetsk
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.30      Fulltime ?:?

 

Date: 05.10.2022     Day: Wednesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Manchester City  vs  FC Copenhagen
Tip: HOME WIN / HOME WIN & OVER 2.5 GOALS
Odds: 1.40     Fulltime 5:0

 

Date: 05.10.2022     Day: Wednesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Benfica   vs  Paris SG
Tip: OVER 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.70     Fulltime ?:?

 

Date: 05.10.2022     Day: Wednesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: RB Leipzig  vs  Celtic
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.55     Fulltime ?:?

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Best fixed matches today

Two-legged Champions League ties present an interesting opportunity for professional bettors. How does the first leg result affect the return fixture match? How often do teams qualify after a first leg defeat? Is a 2-1 home win a good result? Read on to BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE  out more.

Fans of European fixed soccer love it when February comes around as it signals the beginning of the knockout stages. After the first leg rigged matches it’s common to see statistics shared detailing how often a team with a particular scoreline has progressed from a tie in the past.

Whilst that information is interesting, it is not so useful to BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE. Data on European competition goes back to 1955, and so much has changed in soccer in the intervening six decades.

Teams are now more accustomed to BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE, it is far easier to scout potential opponents and the financial changes in the game mean that, when the tournament starts, only a select few teams harbour realistic hopes of hoisting the trophy aloft the following May.

Perhaps most importantly, home advantage in European soccer has decreased over the past 50 years or so. Home teams used to win around 60% of the time in the 1960’s, but these days they prevail in around 45% of matches.

We therefore need a more BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE approach to using this data for our benefit. UEFA experimented with a second group stage in the Champions League around the turn of the century, but that ended in 2002/03.

VIP RIGGED SOCCER GAMES

It makes sense to focus on the seasons since then, as the tournament has retained a straight knockout from the last 16 onwards in that period. The level of home advantage in European ties hasn’t shifted much in that timeframe either.

Fourteen seasons means we have a decent sample of 196 knockout ties to work with. The data is also widely available online and is simple to compile, which is always an added bonus for vip bettors.

However, there are so many combinations of first and second-leg scores that use that data. To attempt to accurately predict the scoreline in the second match would be a fool’s errand. The 196 ties in our sample have produced 134 different two-legged scoreline combinations. With only twelve of them occurring more than twice in the last 14 years.

BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE

Goals are a rare commodity in soccer at the best of times. But that’s especially true when looking at the majority of the most frequently seen scorelines across Champions League knockout ties.

There have been an average of 2.68 goals per game in Champions League knockout matches.  Therefore in the past fourteen years, which is broadly in line with the average goals per game figures for the big leagues.

A lot of these matches are perhaps more likely to be tight as there is so much at stake. And that is especially true as the competition progresses; there have been an average of 2.25 goals per semi-final match. That compared to 2.75 across the two rounds prior.

PROFESSIONAL BETTORS FOR SOCCER

From a betting perspective. We need to know how often the home and away side in the first leg qualifies for the next round. It would be ideal to know by what scoreline but as the above shows. All combinations have very small samples historically.

There probably aren’t any real surprises here. But it’s BEST FIXED MATCHES WORLDWIDE to be able to quantify the outcomes with an eye on selecting bets ahead of second-leg matches.

The most interesting example here is a 2-1 home win in the first leg. As it’s almost an even split of who goes on to qualify. If we exclude penalty shoot-outs. Then there have been nine qualifications for each (Bayern Munich beat Real Madrid in the 2012 semi-finals on penalties, after both sides won 2-1 at home).

This makes sense, as it is the only one of the common first-leg scores. Where a side wins without keeping a clean sheet. Whilst nothing is guaranteed in soccer, winning the first-leg tie without conceding a goal. It almost always results in qualification for the next round.

Only once has the away side won with a clean sheet but the home side has qualified. This occurred in 2011 when Bayern Munich won 1-0 at Inter Milan but then lost the second leg 3-2. In fact, that tie is the only time a visiting side has won the first match but gone out full stop.

If we expand the figures out to all wins, then unsurprisingly the statistics shift a little. However, whether a team wins at home or away in the first leg, they will still qualify far more often than not.

FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

DAILY FREE TIPS 


Date: 04.10.2022     Day: Tuesday

Leaguec: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Inter  vs  Barcelona
Tip: 2 ( Away team WIN )
Odds: 1.80      Fulltime 1:0

 

Date: 04.10.2022     Day: Tuesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Bayern Munich  vs  Plzen
Tip: HOME WIN & OVER 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.40     Fulltime 5:0

 

Date: 04.10.2022     Day: Tuesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Eintracht Frankfurt   vs  Tottenham
Tip: OVER 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.90     Fulltime 0:0

 

Date: 04.10.2022     Day: Tuesday

League: EUROPE Champions League – Group Stage
Match: Ajax  vs  Napoli
Tip: OVER 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.70     Fulltime 1:6

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Sure fixed matches today

The goal for real bettors is to win. To sure win a bet, to win money, to essentially get more out of the betting matches market than what you put in. FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS may seem counterintuitive to then say that being wrong is a good thing, but it can certainly help you in the long run. Why? Read on to find out.

FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

Like many other things in life, it is difficult to distinguish between right and wrong in betting games. If you win a bet, does that mean you’re right? What if the soccer matches team you bet on scored a dubious last minute penalty to get an undeserved win, or someone missed a simple layup in a basketball game where you had the under? Conversely, can you lose a bet and still be right?

All professional bettors should know that you can get something wrong and win money and also get something right and lose. All sports are influenc by randomness and luck in some way, some more than others, and when you are betting on these sports you need to understand that the result of what you bet on is not 100% predictable.

The actual result of every bet

FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

It’s not just an individual bet that may be impact by good or bad luck, this extends to every bet you place. While the actual result of every bet won’t be determine by luck, it’s important to understand how big of a role it plays in betting soccer games before you form an opinion of how skill a best bettor you are.

Betting sure rigged matches

A lack of understanding of randomness and an awareness of variance in sports betting can be very dangerous. Many people would be happy with a 9-2 record and up 10 units betting NFL on a weekend, but thinking that makes you an expert may lead to betting tips more money or placing more bets. When you get to the end of the NFL season with a 139-59 record and down 95 units things will obviously look a lot different.

It’s sometimes difficult to admit you were wrong. However, if you’re able to do it as a vip bettor it can help you improve. You might want to get things right all the time but simply being wrong less often is a good way to start saving money in sports betting. Once you start saving money, you might be able to start making some.

Inevitable wins FREE FOOTBALL MATCHES PREDICTIONS

VIP fixed soccer matches

If you’re starting out on your betting career and think you’re always going to be right, you’re in for a big win surprise. The often quoted benchmark for success in betting is winning about 53-55% of the time (assuming you are betting around even money odds – normally handicaps and totals) and even the best bettors will lose more than 40% of the time. As stated above, losing doesn’t always mean you got it wrong but if you’re losing 40 times out of 100 over the course of a betting career, there’s going to be some poor decision making along the way.

There are plenty of people out there who think they’re the world’s greatest sports bettor. The sooner you realise you aren’t, that you will make mistakes, get things wrong and that you need to put time and energy in to improve both your process and results, the better. Once you can acknowledge that you may get things wrong, it allows you to accept that it can be work on and improve. If you constantly believe your bet lost because of a “bad beat”, you’re only going to repeat your mistakes and see the same results.

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

DAILY FREE TIPS 


 

Date: 24.09.2022     Day: Saturday

League: SWEDEN Division 1 – Norra
Match: Sandviken – Haninge
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50     Fulltime 7:0 Won

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Gambling hidden fixed matches

With the SECRET FIXED MATCHES obvious exception of Leicester City’s incredible title winning campaign of 2014/2015, the higher positions of the English Premier League have generally been dominate by the ‘big six’ (Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal) in recent years, with only Manchester City, Chelsea and Manchester United actually winning the title in the past 10 years.

Unsurprisingly, the overall dominance of the big six has little to do with luck – and a lot to do with the amount of money each club has at its disposal.

Why is the SECRET FIXED MATCHES?

The distribution of money throughout the Premier League is one of the key factors that contributes to its predictability. A useful way of assessing such data is to visit the transfer market website which assigns a market value to individual players and squads based on their current performance.

In this instance, for example, Harry Kane is valued at £135m – despite coming through the Tottenham youth ranks. Depreciation is also take into account, with Cesc Fabregas valued at just £22.50m despite joining Chelsea in 2014 for a fee in the region of £30m.

According to SECRET FIXED MATCHES, the current combined estimate market value of Manchester City (£982,350,000) and Liverpool (£821,700,000) exceeds that of all 72 Football League clubs (£1,296,420,000) by an incredible £507,630,000.

The average current worth of a Premier League squad player is just in excess of £14.38m. This falls to £1.69m for a typical Championship player and reduces further to £215,000 and £102,000 in League One and Two respectively.

Betting fixed matches 

A quick glance at the Premier League rankings from the past SECRET FIXED MATCHES show that only three teams (Leicester City, Southampton and Everton) have manage to break the trend and finish within the top six. Even then, Southampton’s squad was the ninth most expensive and Everton’s the seventh.

SECRET FIXED MATCHES Stats

 

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

However, at the other end of the table, we can see the same level of correlation doesn’t exist. 15 teams, over the past five years, finished in 15th or lower – despite being at least 14th or higher in terms of squad value.

So, what does this tell us? Initially, not a lot we wouldn’t already know. The six richest teams will more than likely occupy the top six positions in order, while the bottom six positions will change more frequently.

That much is obvious, given that every season the bottom three will be relegate to the Championship and three new teams will be promote to take their place. Whereas the top six can’t be promote any higher – so remain at the top of the table.

The data only starts to become useful once we understand that not only is the cost of a team’s squad a good indicator of where they’ll finish –but also – how close this figure is to their rivals.

Using standard deviation to determine league rivals

By using standard deviation, which is a measure of spread, we can determine how close clubs are financially, and thus, determine their rivals.

Professional sure matches

In turn, this should give us a good indicator of what a realistic position in the league table would look like for any given team.

For example, the average cost of a Tottenham Hotspur squad player is estimated to be around £28m, and four teams have squad averages that are relatively close to this figure, when measured in terms of the standard deviation for the league as a whole.

Liverpool and Chelsea’s averages are higher, while Manchester United’s average is lower, but of comparable size.

Given what we know about the relationship between money and success in the Premier League, Tottenham have a realistic aim of finishing second, third or fourth – while they’ll probably see topping Manchester City as more unrealistic.

How comparably close they are:

While Manchester United will see finishing above Tottenham as a realistic aim – given how comparably close they are, in terms of squad value.

Looking further down the table, 14 teams, from Huddersfield in 19th, up to Arsenal in 6th, are in within one standard deviation of their estimated average squad value.

SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES

SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES

SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES

DAILY FREE TIPS 


Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: DENMARK 1st Division
Match: Vejle  vs  Hobro
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.35     Fulltime 2:0

 

Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: NORWAY OBOS-ligaen
Match: KFUM  vs  Oslo Bryne
Tip: OVER  2.5 GOALS
Odds: 1.60      Fulltime 3:3

 

Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: PORTUGAL Liga Portugal
Match: Benfica  vs  Maritimo
Tip: HOME WIN / HOME WIN
Odds: 1.50  Halftime 1:0  / Fulltime 5:0

 

Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: BULGARIA Parva liga
Match: Ludogorets  vs  Arda
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.30    Fulltime 1:1

 

Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: GERMANY Bundesliga 
Match: Hoffenheim  vs  Freiburg
Tip: OVER  2.5 GOALS
Odds: 1.80      Fulltime 0:0

 

Date: 18.09.2022     Day: Sunday

League: NORWAY  Eliteserien
Match:  Molde  vs  Aalesund
Tip: OVER  2.5 GOALS
Odds: 1.50       Fulltime 3:0

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Best professional tipsers for soccer

It is commonly assumed that a market’s closing price is the most efficient, or accurate source, of all betting matches prices. SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES Reflecting as it does the most amount of information available about a game. If, after the influence of the margin, it reflects the ‘true’ probability of something happening. Then any amount you beat it by will be a measure of the expected advantage you hold.

Beat it by 10% and you can expect to make a 10% profit over the long run. There are others, however, who have argued that whilst beating the closing line is an important sign of skill. It is not necessarily a prerequisite. For that to work, however, it implies that closing prices cannot always be fully efficient. Best betting bookies in the world bet365.com.

In this article I want to attempt to reconcile these two positions, looking again at the concept of efficiency and in particular the efficiency of SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES bet’s closing prices as a means of arriving at a consensus. I’ll say now that the read might not be for the faint-hearted, being a journey into my statistical thought experiment.

SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES

When I embarked on it I wasn’t sure what I would find. Even at the end I still remain unsure about the conclusions, but stay with me. It might not be as fun a trip through SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES, but hopefully it will be more enlightening for those aspiring to be sharp bettors.

Fixed sure football matches

What is market efficiency?

Over the past few years I’ve talked quite a lot about the concept of market efficiency. In a betting games context, an efficient market is one where the betting odds accurately reflect. The underlying outcome probabilities of the events in question. For example, if the ‘true’ probability of Manchester City inflicting humiliation on their rivals Manchester United was 70%. Then odds of 1.429, before the bookmaker added their margin, would be efficient.

Naturally, for a fixed single match, there is one or other result, and a bet on Manchester City will win or lose. However, repeated many hundreds or thousands of times. The good and bad luck of individual bets on individual games will cancel out (the law of large numbers). Hence, it is still meaningful to talk of the ‘true’ probability of a result. Even though in practice it is impossible to know precisely. That, after all, is what the betting sure odds are a reflection of.

Market efficiency is an interesting concept applied to large samples. However, for single events if we can’t really know what the ‘true’ probability of an outcome actually is, how can we ever know how efficient the betting vip matches price was?

Sure, we can test a large sample of bets, say, with fair odds (no margin) of 2.00. If 50% of them win that tells us that in aggregate the average win probability of those bets was probably 50% and hence on average the odds of those bets were a reasonable reflection of their underlying win SURE BETS FIXED SOCCER MATCHES. But it tells us nothing about the individual win probabilities of those bets that contributed to the overall average. A market might be collectively efficient but masking underlying efficiencies on a bet-by-bet basis.