Date: 10.10.2022     Day: Monday

League: ENGLAND Premier League 2
Match: Derby U21  vs  Nottingham U21
Odds: 1.70      Fulltime 0:1


Date: 10.10.2022     Day: Monday

League: PORTUGAL Liga Revelacao U23
Match: Portimonense U23  vs  SC Farense U23
Odds: 1.85     Fulltime 0:1


Date: 10.10.2022     Day: Monday

League: POLAND Ekstraklasa
Match: Rakow  vs  Legnica
Odds: 1.30     Fulltime 1:0


Date: 10.10.2022     Day: Monday

League: SWEDEN Allsvenskan
Match: Hammarby  vs  Varberg
Odds: 1.30     Fulltime 5:1

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FIXED MATCHES 1*2 DRAW Opinion is free, but strong information is very expensive. Which is a harsh reality for VIP bettors who derive an edge from reacting to news before the odds do. In an ever-more digitally connected world the volume of free opinion is rising exponentially. This is bringing us to the point of a ‘post-truth’ era.

Successful betting is ultimately about the acquisition of accurate information. That can come as proprietary data feed or an overheard conversation. It really doesn’t matter, so long as the information is accurate. It is important that you get it first.

The search for truth

For the majority of bettors however, without fibre optics, sophisticated models or contacts, this kind of crucial insight is beyond them; their information comes second-hand from the internet and social media, which presents a problem. Given that ‘FIXED MATCHES 1*2 DRAW’ is so expensive those that know aren’t talking, and those that are talking often don’t know, yet human nature is a sucker for a story.

Winston Churchill is widely attributed to have come up with an aphorism that elegantly suggests why misinformation moves faster than fact. “A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on”.

If this sounds like an exaggeration listen to Anthony Adornato, Assistant professor of journalism at Ithaca College’s Roy H. Park School of Communications talking about a survey conducted of US media [Forces at the Gate – May 9th, 20161].

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“A third of respondents indicated their stations have reported information. This was from social media that was later found to be false or inaccurate. One of the more striking findings of this study is. Of those newsrooms that have social media policies, nearly 40 percent said the policy does not include procedures. These procedures were for verifying social media content before it is included in a newscast.”

Another 2015 study by the Media Insight Project2 suggested that 88% of millennials get news regularly from Facebook.


Without going overboard on quotations, there is perhaps another which touches more on human nature. And explains why lies or misinformation is often more interesting than reality. So the story goes Michael Lewis, author of the Big Short and Flash Boys. Overheard this in a Washington DC Bar “The truth is poetry, but people f#cking hate poetry”.

This more visceral and blunt appraisal of our weakness for lies was used by Lewis as part of his commentary on the 2008 financial crash. And attempt to understand why so few people were prepared to challenge the prevailing thinking around the impending implosion of sub-prime mortgages.

Those few that were able to appreciate the poetry of what was happening right under the banks. Regulators and ratings agency noses’ made a lot of money. If anyone who aspires to do the same through betting – though maybe not quite at the same scale – might do well to think about what that means. The only way to do this would be through MANIPULATED FIXED MATCHES that can produce GUARANTEED results.


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Wind forward  and one of the biggest talking points was the sheer surprise of the result, and how it conflicted with the established opinion – betting, polls and financial markets.

A lot of that has to do with the specific dynamics of trying to judge public sentiment at an arbitrary point in time (i.e. an election). Much of the aftermath has focused on the extent to which fake news may have misled the electorate – and by extension – bettors.

Yet ironically what may ultimately have  unexpected rise to success was the sense of certainty he offer voters – on the economy, immigration, defence – in such an uncertain world.

Fake News is Old News

There will certainly be several books and documentaries written about the subject and the word ‘post-truth’ is certain to feature heavily; it was the Oxford English Dictionary’s word of the year for 2016.

A state in which “objective facts are less influential in shaping public opinion than appeals to emotion and personal belief.”

But fake news isn’t really a new phenomenon. By gatekeepers such as Monasteries creating an inherent bias. Even after Guttenberg’s invention rumours still spread easily e.g the fire of London in 1666. Where rumours of Catholic plots spread faster than the flames3 or the misquoting of Marie Antoinette.

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