SECRET FIXED MATCHES

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

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Date: 24.09.2022     Day: Saturday

League: SWEDEN Division 1 – Norra
Match: Sandviken – Haninge
Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.50     Fulltime 7:0 Won

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With the SECRET FIXED MATCHES obvious exception of Leicester City’s incredible title winning campaign of 2014/2015, the higher positions of the English Premier League have generally been dominate by the ‘big six’ (Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal) in recent years, with only Manchester City, Chelsea and Manchester United actually winning the title in the past 10 years.

Unsurprisingly, the overall dominance of the big six has little to do with luck – and a lot to do with the amount of money each club has at its disposal.

Why is the SECRET FIXED MATCHES?

The distribution of money throughout the Premier League is one of the key factors that contributes to its predictability. A useful way of assessing such data is to visit the transfer market website which assigns a market value to individual players and squads based on their current performance.

In this instance, for example, Harry Kane is valued at £135m – despite coming through the Tottenham youth ranks. Depreciation is also take into account, with Cesc Fabregas valued at just £22.50m despite joining Chelsea in 2014 for a fee in the region of £30m.

According to SECRET FIXED MATCHES, the current combined estimate market value of Manchester City (£982,350,000) and Liverpool (£821,700,000) exceeds that of all 72 Football League clubs (£1,296,420,000) by an incredible £507,630,000.

The average current worth of a Premier League squad player is just in excess of £14.38m. This falls to £1.69m for a typical Championship player and reduces further to £215,000 and £102,000 in League One and Two respectively.

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A quick glance at the Premier League rankings from the past SECRET FIXED MATCHES show that only three teams (Leicester City, Southampton and Everton) have manage to break the trend and finish within the top six. Even then, Southampton’s squad was the ninth most expensive and Everton’s the seventh.

SECRET FIXED MATCHES Stats

 

SECRET FIXED MATCHES

However, at the other end of the table, we can see the same level of correlation doesn’t exist. 15 teams, over the past five years, finished in 15th or lower – despite being at least 14th or higher in terms of squad value.

So, what does this tell us? Initially, not a lot we wouldn’t already know. The six richest teams will more than likely occupy the top six positions in order, while the bottom six positions will change more frequently.

That much is obvious, given that every season the bottom three will be relegate to the Championship and three new teams will be promote to take their place. Whereas the top six can’t be promote any higher – so remain at the top of the table.

The data only starts to become useful once we understand that not only is the cost of a team’s squad a good indicator of where they’ll finish –but also – how close this figure is to their rivals.

Using standard deviation to determine league rivals

By using standard deviation, which is a measure of spread, we can determine how close clubs are financially, and thus, determine their rivals.

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In turn, this should give us a good indicator of what a realistic position in the league table would look like for any given team.

For example, the average cost of a Tottenham Hotspur squad player is estimated to be around £28m, and four teams have squad averages that are relatively close to this figure, when measured in terms of the standard deviation for the league as a whole.

Liverpool and Chelsea’s averages are higher, while Manchester United’s average is lower, but of comparable size.

Given what we know about the relationship between money and success in the Premier League, Tottenham have a realistic aim of finishing second, third or fourth – while they’ll probably see topping Manchester City as more unrealistic.

How comparably close they are:

While Manchester United will see finishing above Tottenham as a realistic aim – given how comparably close they are, in terms of squad value.

Looking further down the table, 14 teams, from Huddersfield in 19th, up to Arsenal in 6th, are in within one standard deviation of their estimated average squad value.

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