BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND
BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND
DAILY FREE TIPS
Date: 11.09.2022 Day: Sunday
League: FRANCE Ligue 1
Match: Rennes vs Auxerre
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.60 Fulltime 5:0
Date: 11.09.2022 Day: Sunday
League: ITALY Serie A
Match: Juventus vs Salernitana
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.50 Fulltime 2:2
Date: 11.09.2022 Day: Sunday
League: NETHERLANDS Eredivisie
Match: Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.30 Result: 3:0
Date: 11.09.2022 Day: Sunday
League: BELGIUM Jupiler Pro League
Match: Gent vs Waregem
Tip: HOME WIN
Odds: 1.40 Result: 2:0
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Major fixed matches today
With BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND games likely to be behind closed doors, bettors will be assessing how the lack of spectators will affect the market. What impact will playing matches behind closed doors have on soccer matches? Read on to find out.
Home advantage BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND
The primary bettors are likely to consider concerning games behind closed doors is the concept of home advantage.
We have written previously about home field advantage in soccer betting with home teams enjoying an advantage of 0.25 to 0.5 goals and with fixedmatches.cc closing line odds implying a home win percentage of around 45% across Europe’s top five leagues.
The big question is how much of the existence of home advantage we can attribute to the partisan crowd.
Home advantage factors
BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND on home advantage broke down the possibilities for its existence into a few parts. How playing behind closed doors impacts upon each of them could go some way towards isolating it’s effect.
The home crowd and refereeing
In a previous article, we suggested that VAR data could show the potential impact of a home crowd on refereeing.
There is also some scientific evidence of the crowd having an impact on official’s decision making. Twenty watched the fixture with the crowd noise whilst the other twenty watched a silent version.
The referees exposed to the crowd noise were less likely to penalise the home team with fouls than the referees watching the silenced game footage. This echoes the findings from analyzing the effect of VAR on penalties awarded to the home team.
Hidden sure football matches
Obviously this is the area which we would expect games without a crowd to be influenced the most.
Familiarity and territoriality
There is some evidence that a team’s familiarity with a venue can contribute to home field advantage. It has been described as a possible instinctive improvement in performance as the away team is comparable to invaders to your territory.
Other suggestions that may contribute to home advantage include familiarity with the stadium and field dimensions, which is an especially compelling argument in Major League Baseball for example.
These factors are present regardless of the presence of home fans which strongly suggests home advantage would still be in existence behind closed doors.
Travel
The effect of travel is a logical factor behind home advantage but will not be affect if games were to be play normally behind closed doors. This will still be worth monitoring if venues were changed to some degree.
Home advantage for BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND
Betting soccer games daily
We do have some recent examples of games played behind closed doors prior to the suspension of soccer. Most recently Europa League, Champions League and Serie A games were all played without fans in the stadium.
The issue with isolating the effect of home advantage on these games is that the sample size is very small and the noise created by other factors such as first leg results, BEST FIXED MATCHES WEEKEND and lineups is substantial.
As an example of some of the difficulties faced in Serie A this season, the home win percentage implied by fixedmatches.cc odds was actually higher for the home teams which feels completely counterintuitive. A look at the league position of the teams that took part in these fixtures gives an indication as to why this would be the case:
As you can see the round of fixtures played behind closed doors just happened to contain fixtures for which all of the away sides were inferior to the home team. This included the two lowest ranked sides in the league playing away from home.
It’s essentially impossible to draw many conclusions from this since comparing the implied home win percentage against the average from Serie A this season would be completely misleading.